More than 40 million Americans are in the path of a storm system that forecasters say is highly likely to cause tornadoes.
The areas under threat stretch from southeastern Texas into Georgia and then north into central Indiana and Illinois, according to the US Storm Prediction Center.
“We are fairly confident that there will be multiple tornadoes on the ground from late Tuesday (afternoon) to early Tuesday night,” AccuWeather’s chief on-air meteorologist Bernie Rayno said.
“People should take this threat seriously.”
The most severe weather is likely to impact around one million people in central Mississippi, including the city of Jackson, and parts of east-central Louisiana. Forecasters were warning of large hailstones and a level 4 out of 5 possibility of tornadoes.
“Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, very large hail, and a few severe wind gusts are expected this afternoon into the overnight period across parts of the lower to mid-Mississippi Valley and parts of the Southeast,” a Storm Prediction Center spokesperson said. “A few strong tornadoes will be possible.”
Why it’s so hard to know if tornadoes are caused by climate change
In December 2021, a powerful tornado outbreak across six US states left dozens of people dead.
At the time, I wrote about the difficulty of linking these events to the climate crisis.
Louise Boyle29 November 2022 17:40
What is a tornado?
Tornadoes are whirling, vertical air columns that form from thunderstorms and stretch to the ground. They travel with ferocious speed and lay waste to everything in their path.
Thunderstorms occur when denser, drier cold air is pushed over warmer, humid air, conditions scientists call atmospheric instability. As that happens, an updraft is created when the warm air rises. When winds vary in speed or direction at different altitudes — a condition known as wind shear — the updraft will start to spin.
These changes in winds produce the spin necessary for a tornado. For especially strong tornadoes, changes are needed in both the wind’s speed and direction.
More from the Independent on tornadoes and how the climate crisis makes them worse here.
Sam Webb29 November 2022 16:39
Still some risk tomorrow
According to weather.com, the potential for severe weather will decrease on Wednesday. However, some parts of the Southeast could see one to two inches of rain and flash flooding is possible in areas where too much rain falls too quickly.
Sam Webb29 November 2022 16:24
Meteorologist explains threat levels
Meteorologist Craig Ceecee has outlined what the storm categories mean:
He added: “If you can’t get to your safe place from home, or up and out, in 5 minutes – especially if in a mobile home or weaker structure – you should spend the time under #tornado threat tomorrow somewhere else (with family/friends, at work or at a shelter).”
Sam Webb29 November 2022 16:00
Safety plan is ‘imperative’
Meteorologist for @WCBINEWS Jackson Chastain tweeted: “This is what we are up against. A Tornado Watch is likely by early this afternoon.
“The window is large, as is the potential for several long-track tornadoes. It is imperative that you have a safety plan going into this evening.”
Sam Webb29 November 2022 15:47
Take picture for insurance. residents urged
The Mississippi Emergency Management Agency is urging homeowners to photograph their property before the storm hits for insurance purposes. It tweeted: “We encourage Mississippians to take photos of their home BEFORE the storms. These photos can be used for insurance purposes and/or possible assistance if your home is damaged in the storm.”
Sam Webb29 November 2022 15:43
‘Make decisions quickly’
Bill Bunting, chief of forecast operations at the Storm Prediction Center, told CNN Weather, said: “Another challenge with nighttime tornadoes, especially in the fall and winter, is that storms typically move very quickly, at times 50 or 60 mph.
“This means that you must make decisions quickly and take shelter based on information contained in the severe thunderstorm or tornado warning, and not wait until the storm arrives,” he added.
Sam Webb29 November 2022 15:40
Hail and strong wind also a threat
A total of three million people across much of Mississippi and parts of western Alabama, southwestern Tennessee, eastern Arkansas, northern Louisiana, and a small part of eastern Texas are at risk of hail, strong wind, and tornadoes.
Sam Webb29 November 2022 15:39